Markets think tariffs result in 'a disaster for the economy': Forbes
Forbes Media's Steve Forbes joins 'The Big Money Show' panel to talk the international implications of rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter as President Donald Trump's economic agenda took effect, according to new data released on Wednesday.
The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its advance estimate for first quarter gross domestic product (GDP), which found the U.S. economy contracted at an annual rate of 0.3% in the first quarter, which runs from January through March.
Economists surveyed by LSEG had expected the economy to grow at a 0.3% rate in the quarter. The first quarter's 0.3% contraction was slower than the 2.4% GDP growth recorded in the fourth quarter. The quarterly contraction was the first since the first quarter of 2022.
The decline in GDP was attributed primarily to an increase in imports, which count as a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, as well as a decrease in government spending. Those shifts were partially offset by increases in investment, consumer spending and exports.
The 41% surge in imports was driven by consumer goods, primarily pharmaceutical goods, medicines and vitamins; and by capital goods like computers and parts. The rise in imports was driven in part by importers preordering products in an effort to have the shipments beat the implementation of Trump's tariffs.
Consumer spending rose 1.8% with gains for both services (+2.4%) and goods (+0.5%), as increases in spending on services were widespread and led by healthcare, housing and utilities. Within spending on goods, a 2.7% increase in nondurable goods was partly offset by a 3.4% decrease in durable goods.
Business investment rose 21.9% in the first quarter after it posted a 5.6% decline in the fourth quarter. Nonresidential investment was up 9.8% in the quarter, led by a 22.5% increase in equipment spending.
Disposable personal income was 2.7% in the first quarter, up from 1.9% in the fourth quarter.
Personal saving as a percentage of personal income was 4% in the first quarter, up from 3.7% in the fourth quarter – though it's down from 5.4% in the first quarter of 2024.
Government spending was down 1.4% in the first quarter led by a 5.1% drop in federal government expenditures. Federal spending on national defense activities was down 8%, while nondefense spending declined just 1%. State and local government spending rose by 0.8%, the slowest growth since the second quarter of 2022.
This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.
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